Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.17
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.76
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
20%
4.18
X/2
6%
7.02
X/X
11%
3.57
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
17%
6.13
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.29/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.13
-6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
270 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 69%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.0 Crosses 15.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
387 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
30.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JPK
12.03.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-3 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
06.07.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
20.03.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
03.11.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-0 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
0-2
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.76 xG 1.52
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
363 Passes 187
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus beat Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 62% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 38%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.76 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.33 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 48%, draw 23%, Nagoya Grampus 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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