Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tokyo Verdy v Albirex Niigata — Team-Based Signals
Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata
JAP2
4-3
HT 3-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
1-3
HT 0-1
Albirex Niigata
JAP2
7-0
HT 2-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
2-2
HT 1-1
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
1-1
HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata
JAP2
Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Albirex Niigata — Actual Match Statistics
Tokyo Verdy and Albirex Niigata couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 38% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 62%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.28 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 2.83 for Albirex Niigata.
What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata?
Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 36%, draw 31%, Albirex Niigata 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.