Gamba Osaka 2-1 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Mar 2024

Gamba Osaka
2-1 HT 1-0
Jubilo Iwata
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Gamba Osaka vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
23%
4.69
X/2
16%
6.44
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
8%
4.88
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gamba Osaka v Jubilo Iwata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.50/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.28
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
16.9 Crosses 18.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4

Gamba Osaka vs Jubilo Iwata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.29 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
493 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
12.03.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
18.08.2019 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-1 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
15.06.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
24.04.2019 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-1 HT 2-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
06.03.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JLK

Gamba Osaka 2-1 Jubilo Iwata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
2-1
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.38 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
398 Passes 442
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 44
8 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka edged past Jubilo Iwata 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gamba Osaka as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 46% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 54%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.38 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gamba Osaka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gamba Osaka and 0.67 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Jubilo Iwata?

Gamba Osaka 2-1 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J1 League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 43%, draw 28%, Jubilo Iwata 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamba Osaka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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