Kataller Toyama 1-2 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 48%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.23/1.69
+60% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +133% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
05.06.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JLK
19.10.2014 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-2 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
21.06.2014 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-1 HT 2-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
1-2
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo nicked a narrow win over Kataller Toyama 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Consadole Sapporo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 44% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 56%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.67 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Consadole Sapporo?

Kataller Toyama 1-2 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - League Cup on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 34%, draw 25%, Consadole Sapporo 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Consadole Sapporo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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