Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -25%
2.32/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.87
+24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
440 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 0.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
316 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.06.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
02.03.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
28.10.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
22.04.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
30.07.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
12.03.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-1
AWAY FC Tokyo
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima beat FC Tokyo 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 46% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 54%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.50 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 FC Tokyo in the Japan - League Cup on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55%, draw 23%, FC Tokyo 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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