FC Tokyo 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Mar 2024

FC Tokyo
1-1 HT 0-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 31% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.22
1/2
8%
23.6
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
13%
8.3
X/2
11%
4.21
X/X
8%
4.96
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.42
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Tokyo v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.18/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.86
+35% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
16.0 Crosses 21.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
346 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
22.04.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
30.07.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
12.03.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
27.11.2021 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
30.05.2021 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP

FC Tokyo 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
1-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.63 xG 1.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
209 Passes 311
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 43
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 41% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 59%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.63 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

FC Tokyo 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 30%, draw 24%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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