Kashima Antlers 1-1 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.7
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.57
X/2
11%
6.34
X/X
9%
3.94
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
14%
5.05
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.34/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.30
+25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.3 Crosses 16.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.92 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
203 Passes 298
64% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
07.05.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
06.07.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-3 HT 1-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
29.04.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-3 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
13.04.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-3 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
02.03.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
0.97 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
346 Passes 392
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers and Cerezo Osaka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 48% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 52%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.97 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.83 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka?

Kashima Antlers 1-1 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 42%, draw 27%, Cerezo Osaka 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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