Kyoto Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kyoto Sanga v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals
Kyoto Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
0-2
HT 0-0
Kyoto Sanga
JAP
0-1
HT 0-0
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
1-1
HT 0-0
Kyoto Sanga
JAP
2-2
HT 0-1
Shonan Bellmare
JAP2
3-0
HT 2-0
Kyoto Sanga
JAP2
Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics
Shonan Bellmare squeezed past Kyoto Sanga 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Shonan Bellmare found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 49% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 51%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.02 to 2.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shonan Bellmare's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.33 for Shonan Bellmare.
What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare?
Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 37%, draw 30%, Shonan Bellmare 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), Under 2.5 went the other way.