Sagan Tosu 4-0 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Mar 2024

Sagan Tosu
4-0 HT 1-0
Consadole Sapporo
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Sagan Tosu vs Consadole Sapporo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.0
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
13%
7.31
X/2
21%
4.76
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
2.75
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sagan Tosu v Consadole Sapporo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.10/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.31
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
17.7 Crosses 17.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Sagan Tosu vs Consadole Sapporo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagan Tosu
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 395
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
10.06.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 1-1 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
19.04.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 4-1 HT 1-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JLK
08.03.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
20.08.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 1-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
18.05.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JLK

Sagan Tosu 4-0 Consadole Sapporo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
4-0
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.05 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
327 Passes 357
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagan Tosu cruised past Consadole Sapporo 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Consadole Sapporo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 49% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 51%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.05 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sagan Tosu and 1.33 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Consadole Sapporo?

Sagan Tosu 4-0 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 30%, draw 27%, Consadole Sapporo 43%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Consadole Sapporo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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