Vissel Kobe 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
18%
4.12
X/2
8%
8.05
X/X
14%
4.33
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
11%
6.5
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.34/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
-7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.0 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
469 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
20.05.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
30.07.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
13.07.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JPK
18.06.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 HT 2-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
09.08.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-2 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
0-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.64 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
257 Passes 320
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol squeezed past Vissel Kobe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 48% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 52%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.64 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.50 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Vissel Kobe 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 48%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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