Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.42/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.18
+1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
357 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
03.12.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
30.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JPK
12.03.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-3 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
06.07.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
20.03.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1-1
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nagoya Grampus at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 50% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 50%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.33 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - League Cup on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 30%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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