Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.82
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.16
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
11%
4.49
X/2
9%
6.35
X/X
14%
3.91
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
15%
5.14
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +37%
1.61/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.88
-6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.4 Crosses 19.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.59 xG 0.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 215
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
30.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-1 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JPK
16.07.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
19.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
16.07.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
07.05.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.57 xG 1.24
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
379 Passes 167
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare and Avispa Fukuoka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shonan Bellmare at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 64% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 36%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.57 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.17 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 41%, draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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