Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.47
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
12%
4.79
X/2
13%
5.5
X/X
16%
3.37
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
4.66
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.12/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.32
-24% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
17.7 Crosses 18.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.75 xG 0.51
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
213 Passes 338
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-1 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JPK
16.07.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
19.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
16.07.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
07.05.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
23.04.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.53 xG 0.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
220 Passes 365
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka and Shonan Bellmare couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 43% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 57%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.53 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 0.50 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Shonan Bellmare?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 32%, draw 30%, Shonan Bellmare 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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