Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Mar 2024

Jubilo Iwata
0-1 HT 0-1
Kashiwa Reysol
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Jubilo Iwata vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.7
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
12%
6.09
X/2
18%
4.86
X/X
11%
3.84
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.41
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jubilo Iwata v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.12/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.15
-3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.9 Crosses 17.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Jubilo Iwata vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
345 Passes 423
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-2 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
02.04.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
19.08.2018 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
05.05.2018 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 1-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
18.11.2017 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
20.05.2017 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP

Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
0-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.63 xG 1.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
360 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol nicked a narrow win over Jubilo Iwata 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 56% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 44%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.63 to 1.98 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kashiwa Reysol's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.33 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 30%, draw 27%, Kashiwa Reysol 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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