Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albirex Niigata v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals
Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Albirex Niigata
JAP
1-3
HT 1-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
0-1
HT 0-1
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
2-1
HT 1-0
Albirex Niigata
JAP
4-2
HT 0-1
Albirex Niigata
JAP
1-1
HT 1-1
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
Albirex Niigata 1-0 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics
Albirex Niigata nicked a narrow win over Nagoya Grampus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Albirex Niigata made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Albirex Niigata had 61% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 39%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.00 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Albirex Niigata and 2.00 for Nagoya Grampus.
What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus?
Albirex Niigata 1-0 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 40%, draw 29%, Nagoya Grampus 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.