Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
12%
4.18
X/2
9%
7.99
X/X
11%
4.74
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
11%
6.17
2/X
11%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.49/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.46
+39% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
371 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
14.4 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 0.92
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
389 Passes 227
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-3 HT 2-3 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
03.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
12.10.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
29.05.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
06.11.2010 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-4 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
25.07.2010 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
0-1
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
0.92 xG 0.93
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
470 Passes 219
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga edged past Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 65% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 35%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.92 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.33 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga?

Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 48%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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