Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +11%
1.57/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.59
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.0 Crosses 15.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
243 Passes 218
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
10.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-2 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
11.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
07.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-2 HT 0-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
26.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
16.07.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
3-0
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.02 xG 0.62
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
181 Passes 353
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Nagoya Grampus ran out comfortable winners over Kyoto Sanga 3-0 in the Japan - J1 League on 10 May 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 38% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 62%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.02 to 0.62.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.67 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 48%, draw 25%, Kyoto Sanga 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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