Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.78
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.66
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.85
X/1
14%
5.76
X/2
10%
5.17
X/X
18%
3.51
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
16%
3.93
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.3pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.0pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.37/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.26
-17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.5 Crosses 16.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
253 Passes 253
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-2 HT 0-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
26.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
16.07.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
25.02.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
08.10.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
11.06.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1-1
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.75 xG 1.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
284 Passes 246
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
6 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Japan - J1 League on 11 May 2025. Half-time: 0-0.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 38%.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 52% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 48%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.75 to 1.51.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.17 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 40%, draw 29%, Nagoya Grampus 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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