Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.87
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.76
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
10%
4.99
X/2
18%
5.97
X/X
16%
3.5
2/1
12%
35.0
2/2
10%
4.92
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.23/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.41
+23% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.1 Crosses 15.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.89 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
400 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-2 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
10.07.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
03.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-2 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
31.05.2014 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0-2
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.02 xG 1.03
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
411 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare beat Tokyo Verdy 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Shonan Bellmare made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 59% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 41%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.02 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.25 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare?

Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 40%, draw 28%, Shonan Bellmare 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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