Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Oct 2024

Tokyo Verdy
0-2 HT 0-1
Shonan Bellmare
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.0 — our 23% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.78
X/2
16%
6.31
X/X
12%
4.27
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
10%
4.71
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tokyo Verdy v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.88/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.45
+48% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.9 Crosses 16.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
422 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
11 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.07.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
03.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-2 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
31.05.2014 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2

Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0-2
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.93 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
378 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare got the better of Tokyo Verdy 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Shonan Bellmare found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 53% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 47%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.93 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.00 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare?

Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 38%, draw 29%, Shonan Bellmare 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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