Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.05
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
17%
5.57
X/2
15%
5.31
X/X
10%
3.97
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
15%
3.79
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.92/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-28% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
31.05.2014 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-2
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.35 xG 0.85
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
242 Passes 422
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy nicked a narrow win over Shonan Bellmare 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Shonan Bellmare at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 40% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 60%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.35 to 0.85 — on chances, Shonan Bellmare could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo Verdy?

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 41%, draw 24%, Tokyo Verdy 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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