Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.25
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
15%
4.72
X/2
15%
6.22
X/X
10%
4.06
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
15%
4.78
2/X
12%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.15/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.33
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.0 Crosses 14.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
288 Passes 253
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2021 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
03.07.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 3-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
11.11.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
05.09.2020 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-3 HT 1-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
21.10.2017 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-2 HT 1-2 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
01.07.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.90 xG 1.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
20 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
242 Passes 504
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata beat Albirex Niigata 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Jubilo Iwata made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 36% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 64%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.90 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.00 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Albirex Niigata?

Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 35%, draw 27%, Albirex Niigata 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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