Gamba Osaka 0-0 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.01
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
16%
4.53
X/2
9%
6.73
X/X
12%
4.09
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
11%
5.26
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.48/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.42
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.2 Crosses 16.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 248
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
24.05.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JLK
15.04.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
08.03.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-3 HT 1-2 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JLK
30.07.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
06.04.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
0-0
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
2.00 xG 0.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
281 Passes 275
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka and Kyoto Sanga played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gamba Osaka at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 50% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 50%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 2.00 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gamba Osaka and 1.00 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Gamba Osaka 0-0 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 44%, draw 28%, Kyoto Sanga 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gamba Osaka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5
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