Sagan Tosu 0-0 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.35
1/2
12%
24.0
1/X
9%
17.3
X/1
7%
11.3
X/2
27%
3.68
X/X
7%
5.21
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
13%
1.97
2/X
12%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
52%
Away Win
59%
-6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.10/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.16
-3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
221 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.2 Crosses 41.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagan Tosu
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 1.55
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
415 Passes 392
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.07.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
18.03.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
02.07.2022 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
14.05.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 4-0 HT 2-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
04.12.2021 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
30.05.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 1-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
0-0
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.80 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 12
256 Passes 269
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
7 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagan Tosu and Vissel Kobe played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 49% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 51%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.80 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sagan Tosu and 2.00 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Vissel Kobe?

Sagan Tosu 0-0 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 20%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 52%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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