Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.62
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.75
X/1
9%
6.63
X/2
14%
4.3
X/X
18%
3.3
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.22
2/X
10%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.8pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.3pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.04/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.08
-20% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
17.5 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 1.11
44% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
271 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
19.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
05.04.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
12.03.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
14.08.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
11.06.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-0
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.31 xG 0.39
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
243 Passes 461
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka nicked a narrow win over Kashima Antlers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day Avispa Fukuoka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 38% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 62%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.31 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.00 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 29%, draw 33%, Kashima Antlers 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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