Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 30% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
0.00/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 0.85
40% Ball Possession 60%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
242 Passes 422
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
03.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-2 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
31.05.2014 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare nicked a narrow win over Tokyo Verdy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Shonan Bellmare found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 56% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 44%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.00 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo Verdy?

Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 39%, draw 26%, Tokyo Verdy 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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