Sagan Tosu 3-1 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
33%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
27%
+17.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.0pp
33%
Away Win
46%
-12.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -63% / -63%
2.76/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+73% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagan Tosu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Yokohama FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.11
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
460 Passes 336
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 1-3 HT 1-2 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
03.06.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
03.11.2021 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
11.04.2021 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 3-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
05.12.2020 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
05.09.2020 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 3-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
3-1
AWAY Yokohama FC
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagan Tosu saw off Yokohama FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sagan Tosu as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 41% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 59%, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagan Tosu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sagan Tosu and 0.83 for Yokohama FC.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama FC?

Sagan Tosu 3-1 Yokohama FC in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 45%, draw 22%, Yokohama FC 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagan Tosu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagan Tosu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JPK More Japan - İmparatorluk Cup
10 Jul 2024
12:30 Vissel Kobe vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
13:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
13:00 Consadole Sapporo vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →
13:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki Analysis →
13:00 FC Tokyo vs JEF United Analysis →
13:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →