Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-0 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.85
2-3 Goals
34%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.85 — our 29% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
72%
-20.4pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.3pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 14%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4-0
AWAY Iwaki
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 0
18 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima ran out comfortable winners over Iwaki 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 67% of the ball to Iwaki's 33%, shots finished 28-4.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-0 Iwaki in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52%, draw 26%, Iwaki 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ BTTS No
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