Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 10 Jul 2024

Kyoto Sanga
3-1 HT 0-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
📅10/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - İmparatorluk Cup – 2025

Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kyoto Sanga v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 48%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.81/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
278 Passes 252
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
22.06.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JPK
14.05.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
16.10.2010 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
05.05.2010 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-4 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
19.08.2009 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP

Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
3-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga beat Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kyoto Sanga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 55% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 45%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.17 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 33%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5
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