FC Tokyo 1-2 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
13%
13.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 25% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
45%
+8.0pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 32%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
213 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-1D-2L
AWAY JEF United
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2 Corners 2
17.11.2010 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JPK
22.11.2009 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
20.05.2009 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
18.04.2009 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP
29.06.2008 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
1-2
AWAY JEF United
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 10
10 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United nicked a narrow win over FC Tokyo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Tokyo at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 56% of the ball to JEF United's 44%, shots finished 17-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.00 for JEF United.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs JEF United?

FC Tokyo 1-2 JEF United in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 53%, draw 22%, JEF United 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tokyo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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