Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.48
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
7%
17.45
X/1
7%
11.9
X/2
16%
3.7
X/X
10%
5.73
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.89
2/X
6%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+9.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 66%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
0.92/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.74
+24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +54%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
18.3 Crosses 24.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
389 Passes 390
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
02.07.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
17.04.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-2 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
31.08.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
01.03.2019 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
03.11.2018 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1-2
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.69 xG 2.81
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
164 Passes 384
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 46
16 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima squeezed past Jubilo Iwata 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 35% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 65%, shots finished 8-26, expected goals 1.69 to 2.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.83 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 26%, draw 23%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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