Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Jun 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-0 HT 1-0
Jubilo Iwata
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.7
X/1
13%
3.47
X/2
6%
15.25
X/X
11%
6.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
10%
12.4
2/X
6%
20.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Jubilo Iwata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 16%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.74/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.10
-5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
419 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
26.0 Crosses 18.8
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Jubilo Iwata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.61 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
395 Passes 392
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.07.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
17.04.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-2 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
31.08.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
01.03.2019 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
03.11.2018 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
18.03.2018 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Jubilo Iwata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-0
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
0.94 xG 0.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
330 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima saw off Jubilo Iwata 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 51% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 49%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.94 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.83 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Jubilo Iwata?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J1 League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54%, draw 24%, Jubilo Iwata 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Over 2.5
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