Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Jun 2024

Shonan Bellmare
1-2 HT 0-1
Gamba Osaka
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.23
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
14%
5.8
X/2
16%
5.2
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.63
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shonan Bellmare v Gamba Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.28/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.32
-24% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.9 Crosses 15.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
327 Passes 383
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
01.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 4-1 HT 4-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
06.07.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
17.04.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
04.12.2021 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
22.09.2021 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-1 HT 3-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JPK

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Gamba Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-2
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.95 xG 1.20
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
472 Passes 144
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka squeezed past Shonan Bellmare 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Gamba Osaka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 72% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 28%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.95 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.17 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka?

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 33%, draw 30%, Gamba Osaka 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamba Osaka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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