Kashima Antlers 3-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Jun 2024

Kashima Antlers
3-2 HT 0-1
Yokohama F. Marinos
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.69
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
15%
4.8
X/2
11%
7.49
X/X
9%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
23.15
2/2
14%
5.03
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kashima Antlers v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.34/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.72
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
20.1 Crosses 19.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.39 xG 1.74
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
218 Passes 458
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
18.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
30.07.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
10.04.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-3 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
28.08.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
15.05.2021 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 5-3 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Kashima Antlers 3-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
3-2
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.73 xG 2.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
228 Passes 341
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 43% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 57%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.73 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kashima Antlers and 2.00 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kashima Antlers 3-2 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 45%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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