Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.61
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
11%
7.15
X/2
21%
4.36
X/X
10%
4.29
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
2.8
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.30/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.08
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.5 Crosses 18.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.17 xG 1.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
274 Passes 327
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
14.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
19.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-2 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JLK
05.04.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 4-0 HT 3-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JLK
29.10.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
26.02.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.81 xG 0.69
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
170 Passes 330
62% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga and Cerezo Osaka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cerezo Osaka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 39% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 61%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.81 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 0.33 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka?

Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 32%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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