Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shimizu S-Pulse v Machida Zelvia — Team-Based Signals
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-2
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
2-1
HT 1-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
JAP2
Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 Machida Zelvia — Actual Match Statistics
Shimizu S-Pulse and Machida Zelvia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 61% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 39%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.88 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 2.00 for Machida Zelvia.
What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 30%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.