Albirex Niigata 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.79
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
11%
6.19
X/2
17%
5.07
X/X
14%
3.92
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.52
2/X
5%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.03/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.21
-24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
347 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.4 Crosses 17.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.99 xG 1.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
387 Passes 462
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
11.05.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-4 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
02.09.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
18.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 2-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
09.07.2017 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
14.05.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-6 HT 1-5 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
1-1
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.25 xG 0.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
497 Passes 422
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata and Urawa Red Diamonds couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 54% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 46%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.25 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albirex Niigata and 2.50 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Albirex Niigata 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 32%, draw 29%, Urawa Red Diamonds 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
11 May 2025
07:05 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia Analysis →
07:05 Kashima Antlers vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
08:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →
09:00 Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
09:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →
09:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis →