Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
13%
4.09
X/2
10%
8.45
X/X
11%
4.16
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
12%
6.95
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.63/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.46
-8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.9 Crosses 16.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
221 Passes 285
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
25.02.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
08.10.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
11.06.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
04.06.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 6-1 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JLK
03.05.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 1-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1-1
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.35 xG 1.02
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
360 Passes 154
74% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus and Kyoto Sanga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nagoya Grampus at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 65% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 35%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.35 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.83 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 44%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
26 May 2024
08:00 Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy Analysis →
09:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
09:00 FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →
10:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Machida Zelvia Analysis →