Vissel Kobe 0-1 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.4
X/1
19%
3.53
X/2
8%
11.7
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
12%
10.25
2/X
6%
18.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.96/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.59
+23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.3 Crosses 15.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
13.07.2005 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 3-3 HT 3-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
0-1
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.89 xG 0.21
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
456 Passes 226
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 13
42 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy edged past Vissel Kobe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 64% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 36%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.89 to 0.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy?

Vissel Kobe 0-1 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 50%, draw 24%, Tokyo Verdy 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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