Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 29% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.78
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.58
X/2
13%
5.81
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.03
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.18/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.50
-3% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
15.7 Crosses 20.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
252 Passes 259
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
07.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-2 HT 0-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
26.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
16.07.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
25.02.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
08.10.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1-2
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.29 xG 1.22
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
144 Passes 243
62% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kyoto Sanga edged past Nagoya Grampus 2-1 away from home in the Japan - J1 League on 10 Aug 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 41% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 59%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.29 to 1.22.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.33 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 40%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
10 Aug 2025
12:30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
13:00 FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
13:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →
13:00 Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →