Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.95
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
22%
4.1
X/2
10%
10.95
X/X
8%
5.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.25
2/2
9%
8.68
2/X
5%
17.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.25 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-0.7pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 21%
-27% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.16/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.60
-48% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
29.8 Crosses 16.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
303 Passes 345
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
17.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-2 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
15.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
08.07.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
03.05.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-2 HT 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
05.11.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
2-0
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
3.23 xG 0.49
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
647 Passes 259
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol got the better of Shonan Bellmare 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 69% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 31%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 3.23 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.00 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare?

Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 59%, draw 19%, Shonan Bellmare 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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