Shonan Bellmare vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shonan Bellmare v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals
Shonan Bellmare vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
1-2
HT 1-1
Kashiwa Reysol
JAP
1-2
HT 0-1
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
0-2
HT 0-0
Kashiwa Reysol
JAP
2-4
HT 1-0
Kashiwa Reysol
JAP
Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics
Kashiwa Reysol edged past Shonan Bellmare 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Kashiwa Reysol made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 60% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 40%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.30 to 1.29 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shonan Bellmare.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 2.00 for Kashiwa Reysol.
What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 40%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) went the other way.