FC Tokyo 0-0 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.5
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
16%
6.28
X/2
13%
5.03
X/X
13%
4.25
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.28
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.24/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.33
+0% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
407 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
17.2 Crosses 13.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 393
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
12.07.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
08.06.2008 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-4 HT 2-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
25.05.2008 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-0 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JLK
09.07.2005 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
0-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.34 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
378 Passes 212
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo and Tokyo Verdy played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 60% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 40%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.34 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.00 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?

FC Tokyo 0-0 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 36%, draw 28%, Tokyo Verdy 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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