Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nagoya Grampus v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics
Sanfrecce Hiroshima came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Nagoya Grampus 2-1 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Sanfrecce Hiroshima saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.51 to 1.84 — on chances created, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Nagoya Grampus against 1.33 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Result & Final Score
Nagoya Grampus 1 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 21%, draw 29%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.