Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
2-1
HT 1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JLK
2-1
HT 1-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JAP
1-2
HT 1-0
Nagoya Grampus
JLK
0-0
HT 0-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JAP
1-0
HT 0-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-3 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics
Nagoya Grampus squeezed past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 65% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 35%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.95 to 1.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.17 for Nagoya Grampus.
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-3 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%, draw 24%, Nagoya Grampus 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.