Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.87
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.62
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
10%
15.45
X/1
10%
6.72
X/2
14%
4.2
X/X
14%
4.03
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
2.93
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.00/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.05
-19% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 82%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
17.9 Crosses 13.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.98 xG 1.63
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
239 Passes 523
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
08.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JPK
29.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
20.08.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-4 HT 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
14.05.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.08.2021 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.60 xG 1.38
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
220 Passes 483
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka and Kawasaki Frontale shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 35% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 65%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.60 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 2.83 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 33%, draw 31%, Kawasaki Frontale 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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