Vissel Kobe 3-2 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
20%
3.99
X/2
11%
9.09
X/X
18%
4.03
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
9%
7.71
2/X
6%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.36/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.35
-13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.8 Crosses 13.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.67 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 377
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
09.04.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
30.09.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
31.05.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
04.03.2017 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
06.08.2016 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-0 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
3-2
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.74 xG 1.91
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
284 Passes 598
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe edged past Albirex Niigata 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 35% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 65%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.74 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vissel Kobe and 0.33 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Albirex Niigata?

Vissel Kobe 3-2 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 46%, draw 30%, Albirex Niigata 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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