Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.6
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.69
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
10%
7.08
X/2
12%
4.43
X/X
13%
3.89
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.93
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.37/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.69
+5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
19.6 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
11.04.2021 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
14.10.2020 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
02.08.2020 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
14.09.2019 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
0-3
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.46 xG 1.97
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
286 Passes 220
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
6 Box Touches 38
7 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia cruised past Kyoto Sanga 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 53% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 47%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.46 to 1.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 0.80 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia?

Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 32%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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