Consadole Sapporo 1-2 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 30% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.37
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
8%
5.51
X/2
9%
6.11
X/X
15%
4.86
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
26%
3.91
2/X
7%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.42/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.03
+0% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.5 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.92 xG 1.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
402 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-3 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
06.05.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 5-1 HT 3-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
06.07.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-0 HT 2-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
16.04.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
05.09.2021 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
01.09.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1-2
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.60 xG 1.69
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
611 Passes 212
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo squeezed past Consadole Sapporo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and on the day FC Tokyo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 70% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 30%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.60 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 1.33 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs FC Tokyo?

Consadole Sapporo 1-2 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 33%, draw 28%, FC Tokyo 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tokyo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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