Kawasaki Frontale 1-3 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.33
No
42%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.74
2-3 Goals
35%
2.27
4-5 Goals
28%
2.41
6+ Goals
14%
4.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.63
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.34
X/2
15%
7.43
X/X
8%
6.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.45
2/2
13%
4.13
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.45 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-13.1pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.51/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.59
-3% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
17.0 Crosses 18.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 426
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
15.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
17.02.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.08.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
23.02.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-2 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
04.12.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1-3
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.86 xG 1.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 5
357 Passes 399
90% Pass Accuracy 90%
34 Box Touches 19
36 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos saw off Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 48% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 52%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.86 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.33 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kawasaki Frontale 1-3 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 44%, draw 22%, Yokohama F. Marinos 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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